This weather map presented by Évelyne Dhéliat is very similar to the forecast for 2050 (Photo: Météo France)
WARM WEATHER – “On August 17, 2050 still very hot with a barely veiled blazing sun.” 8 years ago, Évelyne Dhéliat presented on TF1 a fake weather forecast, showing abnormally high temperatures, based on Météo France’s predictions for 2050 related to global warming. This Friday, July 15, the map she posted on Twitter is very real and sadly close to the disaster scenario presented in 2014… three decades in advance.
France has been facing another heat wave since Tuesday and several southern departments have been placed on heat wave-orange vigilance. According to Météo France, the heat should increase between Sunday and Tuesday with a peak expected on Monday, where “extreme temperatures” are expected “on the Atlantic arc”. Predictions “insane”, regrets this Friday, Évelyne Dhéliat.
“Between 40 and 42°C or more, in the western regions, she notes. As offshore wind is expected with great caution in some of these regions, the risk of fires remains and will remain very high. In her message, the presenter wanted , who joined Twitter last June, to send her “thoughts and esteem for our firefighters”, dealing in particular with several fires in the Gironde and in the Bouches-du-Rhône.
Acceleration of heat episodes
In 2014, scientists predicted such temperatures for 2050 if nothing was done to combat global warming. “Will you say to me: ‘this is all just fiction for 2050’. Do not think that this bulletin came from my imagination, as it was formulated with great seriousness by Météo France”, warned 8 years ago, one of the figures of TF1. This ‘foresight’ exercise had also been carried out in other countries, recalls Gilles Bouleau.
Similarly, in the United Kingdom, forecasts made at the end of 2020 by the Met Office, the UK’s national meteorological service, for 2050 are close to the temperatures currently observed. “To the left is a Met Office projection of what a summer heat wave could look like in 2050,” a UK Labor Party executive tweeted on Friday, July 15. On the right, the weather forecast for Tuesday, produced this morning by the BBC. “The climate crisis is real and it is happening now. Wake up,” he concludes.
The British Meteorological Service also issued a red warning for the first time this Friday, July 15, of “extreme heat” for Monday and Tuesday in England, pending temperatures that could exceed records or even the 40°C threshold. “Exceptional, potentially record-breaking temperatures are likely to be early next week,” Paul Gundersen, chief meteorologist at the UK’s Met Office, said in a statement.
Acceleration of heat waves
These findings are prompting several weather journalists, including BFMTV’s Marc Hay, to change the way they talk about heat waves. “The forecasts we have shown for 2050 have already come true. In 2019 it was a warning sign and we thought it would happen in 15 or 20 years, and in fact it will happen three years later,” he said in mid-June, when temperatures were already above normal for the season.
Scientists have indeed observed an acceleration of heat episodes in recent times. In the past 21 years (between 2000 and 2021), 23 heat wave episodes have been recorded, compared to just 17 in 53 years (during the period 1947-1999), Météo France noted.
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This article originally appeared on The HuffPost and has been updated.